Polymarket market · Other

Syracuse vs. North Carolina

Resolved: Syracuse won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $231K on this market since Oct 24, 93% of their buying on North Carolina. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 6 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Syracuse won, with 8% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$24K and 3 lost −$210K: −$186K between them. Biggest win: Powerless-Savannah, +$9.7K on Syracuse. Biggest loss: Unwieldy-Collagen, −$207K on North Carolina.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwieldy-Collagen
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
North Carolina @ 76¢ $207K — −$207K
Corrupt-Poisoning
453 settled bets Beat the odds*
Syracuse @ 44¢ $4.4K — +$5.5K
Low-Cartload
10 settled bets Too few bets
North Carolina @ 84¢ $1.9K $2.0K +$68
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Syracuse @ 95¢ $3.6K — +$203
Smart-Elbow
85 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Syracuse @ 42¢ $3.2K — +$4.5K
Normal-Check
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Syracuse @ 43¢ $3.2K — +$4.2K
Powerless-Savannah
2,858 settled bets Beat the odds*
Syracuse @ 23¢ $2.9K — +$9.7K
Amusing-Erosion-Vise
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
North Carolina @ 68¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Another-Catastrophe
12 settled bets Too few bets
North Carolina @ 72¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. North Carolina lost
    $212K
    93% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $2.0K sold
  2. Syracuse won
    $17K
    8% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 25, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

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About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed