Polymarket market · Other

Tulsa vs. Arkansas

Resolved: Arkansas won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales put $144K into this market since Sep 26, 92% of their buying on Arkansas. Arkansas won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$51K and 3 lost −$12K: +$39K between them.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwieldy-Collagen
88 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arkansas @ 72¢ $132K — +$51K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tulsa @ 29¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Flaky-Campaign
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Tulsa @ 29¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Tulsa @ 29¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K

Where the whale money went

  1. Arkansas won
    $132K
    92% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. Tulsa lost
    $12K
    8% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed