Skinny-Brushing

0xe4d6b67b76916d069a0a25b63df71e835cf0308a

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Skinny-Brushing: +$17K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$17K
return +27.5%
Settled bets
7
$62K staked
Won
42.9%
95% range 16%–75%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$7.1K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$13K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$3.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 BUY Over @ 40¢
France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 $1.7K
Oct 2 BUY Over @ 40¢
France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5
France vs. Italy: O/U 3.5 $1.7K
Sep 18 BUY Felix Gill @ 16¢
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill $1.4K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 61¢
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16? $2.3K
Sep 11 BUY Yes @ 50¢
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-12?
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-09-12? $20K
Sep 10 BUY Yes @ 46¢
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? $29K
Aug 28 BUY Over @ 45¢
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5 $2.1K
Aug 28 BUY Over @ 45¢
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5 $3.6K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed