Queasy-Puddle

0xee67f4f549180f564dd5910b1024b8c6729cef38

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Queasy-Puddle: +$3.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3.9K
return +68.3%
Settled bets
2
$5.7K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$5.6K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$1.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 20¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $18K
Sep 15 BUY Yes @ 17¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? $1.9K
Sep 15 SELL Yes @ 42¢
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? $1.9K
Sep 10 BUY No @ 15¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? $1.7K
Aug 28 BUY FC Bayern München @ 42¢
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) $4.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed