Flimsy-Horizon
0x0c84d454825e9f42619497f6158b4753cd43a8ed
Flimsy-Horizon: +$2.7K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 35%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$2.7K
return +19.4%
Settled bets
9
$14K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 35%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$409
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$839
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Czechia
@ 53¢
Spread: England (-2.5) |
Spread: England (-2.5) | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score |
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score | $2.3K |
| Oct 6 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score |
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Both Teams to Score | $2.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 51¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03? | $1.5K |
| Oct 3 | BUY No
@ 51¢
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03? |
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-10-03? | $1.5K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 78¢
San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score |
San Marino vs. Albania: Both Teams to Score | $1.3K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-09-27? | $1.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY No
@ 42¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? |
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.