Vacant-Exposition-Rosemary
0x7f615457daff3f03bfee5a2e9f968f1199a5293d
Vacant-Exposition-Rosemary: +$15K on 16 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 51%–90%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$15K
return +11.1%
Settled bets
16
$134K staked
Won
75.0%
95% range 51%–90%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$15K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | SELL Elina Svitolina
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina | $1.6K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Elina Svitolina
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina | $7.0K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Elina Svitolina
@ 99.9¢
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina |
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina | $49K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Matej Dodig
@ 99.9¢
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino |
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino | $19K |
| Oct 7 | SELL Matej Dodig
@ 99.9¢
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino |
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino | $24K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Matej Dodig
@ 96¢
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino |
Braga: Matej Dodig vs Andrea Pellegrino | $9.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Arthur Fery
@ 95¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic | $6.1K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 88¢
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng |
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng | $18K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.