Polymarket market · Sports

Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Felix Balshaw vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Resolved: Felix Balshaw won · See it on Polymarket ↗

15 whales put $51K into this market since Oct 1, 74% of their buying on Felix Balshaw. Felix Balshaw won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$2.9K and 2 lost −$3.9K: −$946 between them.

The whales on this market

15 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Quixotic-Brow
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $13K —
Willing-Skiing
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer @ 46¢ $3.7K $2.8K +$543
Jolly-Grove
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 79¢ $1.0K $4.5K —
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 84¢ $2.8K $1.7K +$288
Sweet-Number
79 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 85¢ $3.8K — +$676
Foolish-Cohort-Puritan
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 98¢ $2.7K — +$55
Horrible-Subroutine
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer @ 55¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Imaginative-River
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 88¢ $2.0K — +$273
Muted-Dearest
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 81¢ $1.9K — +$444
Intentional-Tooth
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Zigzag-Aardvark
6 settled bets Too few bets
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer @ 49¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Valuable-Span-Casket
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.3K —
0x7750…a3f3
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Hurtful-Nonconformist
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 87¢ $1.2K — +$177
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Balshaw @ 70¢ $1.1K — +$465

Where the whale money went

  1. Felix Balshaw won
    $18K
    74% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $24K sold
  2. Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lost
    $6.4K
    26% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $2.8K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed