Likable-Mineshaft
Skill vs luck
Likable-Mineshaft on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–39%) · profit −$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 4, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Likable-Mineshaft: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 4, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x8165f885f94e120a28c4d38396acfe4b871b97b8. Data CC BY 4.0.
Likable-Mineshaft: −$1.2K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–39%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 4 – Sep 19
- −$4
- Sep 19 – Oct 4
- −$1
- Oct 4 – Oct 20
- −$1.2K
- Oct 20 – Nov 4
- −$1
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | SELL Mary Stoiana @ 99.9¢ | Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Venus Williams vs Mary Stoiana ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 13 | BUY Sorana Cirstea
@ 96¢
Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea |
Wuhan Tennis Open: Hanyu Guo vs Sorana Cirstea | $1.2K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Guiomar Maristany
@ 99.9¢
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Despina Papamichail |
Tolentino: Guiomar Maristany vs Despina Papamichail | $1.2K |
| Sep 15 | SELL Veronika Podrez
@ 99.9¢
W75 Le Neubourg: Veronika Podrez vs Salma Djoubri |
W75 Le Neubourg: Veronika Podrez vs Salma Djoubri | $1.3K |
| Sep 10 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-09? |
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-09-09? | $1.5K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.