Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Naomi Osaka

Resolved: Naomi Osaka won · See it on Polymarket ↗

13 whales put $61K into this market since Oct 2, 89% of their buying on Naomi Osaka. Naomi Osaka won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$7.9K and 3 lost −$5.9K: +$2.0K between them.

The whales on this market

13 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Hefty-Metabolite
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 91¢ $18K — +$1.8K
Grave-Coconut
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 99¢ $7.4K — +$83
Cheery-Communication
66 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 65¢ $6.6K — +$3.6K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Naomi Osaka @ 90¢ $6.2K — −$2.0K
Rich-Calf
8 settled bets Too few bets
Naomi Osaka @ 96¢ $5.0K — +$209
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Timofeeva @ 33¢ $3.4K — −$1.5K
Ill-Notice
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 89¢ $3.1K — +$375
Favorable-Neuron
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maria Timofeeva @ 11¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Vicious-Poker-Artificer
7 settled bets Too few bets
Naomi Osaka @ 92¢ $1.2K $1.2K +$46
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 94¢ $2.3K — +$144
Scornful-West
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 79¢ $1.6K — +$420
Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 57¢ $1.5K — +$1.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Naomi Osaka @ 90¢ $1.1K — +$122

Where the whale money went

  1. Naomi Osaka won
    $53K
    89% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $1.2K sold
  2. Maria Timofeeva lost
    $6.8K
    11% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed