Polymarket market · Sports

China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Arthur Gea

Resolved: Hubert Hurkacz won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $80K into this market since Oct 2, 74% of their buying on Hubert Hurkacz. Hubert Hurkacz won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$14K and 3 lost −$17K: −$3.4K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 67¢ $21K — +$8.1K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 98¢ $21K — +$419
0x78be…bde0
194 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Gea @ 52¢ $15K — −$15K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Hubert Hurkacz @ 88¢ $7.4K — +$1.0K
Harmless-Region
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.3K —
Dependent-Infiltration
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 49¢ $3.2K — +$3.3K
Dimpled-Fishbone
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 86¢ $2.6K — +$420
Baggy-Onion-Jealousy
1 settled bets Too few bets
Arthur Gea @ 43¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Welcome-Revenue
215 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Hubert Hurkacz @ 66¢ $1.1K — +$572
Elastic-Rambler
1 settled bets Too few bets
Arthur Gea @ 43¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Hubert Hurkacz won
    $54K
    74% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $7.3K sold
  2. Arthur Gea lost
    $19K
    26% of whale buying · 4 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed