Zigzag-Spiderling-Highway

0x18de0919dee0dd0401efc205dd2685a656947c92

Skill vs luck

Zigzag-Spiderling-Highway on Polymarket: 13 settled bets · won 39% (95% range 18%–65%) · profit −$984. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −6.5% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 20, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Zigzag-Spiderling-Highway: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 20, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x18de0919dee0dd0401efc205dd2685a656947c92. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Zigzag-Spiderling-Highway: −$984 on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$984
return −15.1%
Settled bets
13
$6.5K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 19
+$52
Oct 4 – Oct 20
+$70
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −6.5% (1,973 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 19 BUY Under @ 98¢
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5 $1.1K
Oct 19 SELL Lorenzo Musetti @ 99.9¢
Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti
Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti $1.2K
Oct 19 SELL Marie Bouzkova @ 99.9¢ Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova ↗ $1.1K
Oct 19 BUY Marie Bouzkova @ 99¢ Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova ↗ $1.1K
Oct 19 BUY Jaume Munar @ 97¢
European Open: Federico Cina vs Jaume Munar
European Open: Federico Cina vs Jaume Munar $1.0K
Oct 19 SELL Adrian Mannarino @ 99.9¢
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic
Almaty Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Aleksandar Vukic $1.0K
Sep 12 BUY Alevtina Ibragimova @ 95¢
Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alicia Herrero Linana
Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alicia Herrero Linana $1.1K
Sep 11 SELL Jay Dylan Friend @ 99.9¢
Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend
Istanbul 3: Yanki Erel vs Jay Dylan Friend $1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792479640, computed 2026-10-20 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792479640 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed