Polymarket market · Other

Phoenix Mercury vs. Portland Fire

Resolved: Phoenix Mercury won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $71K into this market since Sep 17, 72% of their buying on Phoenix Mercury. Phoenix Mercury won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$8.8K and 6 lost −$15K: −$6.3K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Scary-Fannypack
123 settled bets Beat the odds*
Phoenix Mercury @ 82¢ $16K — +$1.7K
Clueless-Bookend
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Phoenix Mercury @ 99¢ $11K — +$112
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Phoenix Mercury @ 97¢ $11K — −$3.5K
Burly-Batting
14 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $8.5K —
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
Portland Fire @ 29¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
Generous-Burning
213 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Phoenix Mercury @ 53¢ $4.0K — +$3.6K
Left-Lifetime
7 settled bets Too few bets
Portland Fire @ 42¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
General-Cloves
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Phoenix Mercury @ 52¢ $2.4K — +$2.2K
Expensive-Stealth
2 settled bets Too few bets
Phoenix Mercury @ 99¢ $1.7K — +$17
Zigzag-Clamp-Legume
37 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Miniature-Ad
20 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Illiterate-Counterforce
266 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Phoenix Mercury @ 79¢ $1.3K — +$352
0xc241…519c
18 settled bets Too few bets
Portland Fire @ 73¢ $1.3K — −$1.3K
Nutty-Dwelling-Basics
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Phoenix Mercury @ 59¢ $1.2K — +$845
Negligible-Somersault
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Portland Fire @ 20¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Essential-Meteor
10 settled bets Too few bets
Portland Fire @ 48¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Phoenix Mercury won
    $43K
    72% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Portland Fire lost
    $17K
    28% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 17 to Sep 18, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed