Polymarket market · Other

Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

41 whales put $207K into this market since Oct 1, 64% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 41
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Opulent-Right
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 89¢ $27K —
Sociable-Rooster
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 80¢ $17K —
Fearful-Congress
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 73¢ $14K —
0xdef6…f69a
no settled record
No @ 71¢ $13K —
0xc251…d0fd
no settled record
Yes @ 21¢ $9.5K —
Unique-Primary
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $9.3K —
0x8921…5ca8
no settled record
Yes @ 21¢ $8.5K —
Key-Sovereignty
36 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 29¢ $6.0K $2.5K
Simple-Tradition
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $5.8K $1.4K
Oblong-Pioneer
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 80¢ $6.8K —
Wordy-Duel
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 55¢ $1.1K $4.9K
Slow-Regret
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 73¢ $6.0K —
0x643f…6663
no settled record
No @ 84¢ $5.9K —
Witty-Conviction
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 74¢ $5.1K —
0x9529…7c6a
no settled record
Yes @ 30¢ $5.0K —
Careful-Bunch
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 76¢ $1.5K $3.5K
Unripe-Whisker
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 74¢ $4.9K —
Complete-Fly
6 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 27¢ $3.9K —
Taut-Familiarity-Grey
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 20¢ $3.7K —
Shallow-Span
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 48¢ $3.1K —
Worthless-Karate
7 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 47¢ $3.1K —
Vital-Browser
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 29¢ $3.0K —
Grumpy-Urn
13 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 68¢ $3.0K —
Spectacular-Failure
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.7K
Anchored-Tambourine
8 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 80¢ $2.6K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $119K
    64% of whale buying · 20 buyers · $17K sold
  2. Yes
    $63K
    34% of whale buying · 19 buyers · $4.6K sold
  3. No
    $3.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed