Complete-Fly
0x6bab41a0dc40d6dd4c1a915b8c01969479fd1292
Complete-Fly: −$34K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$34K
return −59.3%
Settled bets
7
$58K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$37K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$6.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$3.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 27¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $3.9K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 15 | BUY Yes
@ 99¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | $7.9K |
| Sep 15 | BUY No
@ 83¢
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | $8.0K |
| Sep 9 | BUY Yes
@ 66¢
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? |
LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch? | $12K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Raiders
@ 50¢
49ers vs. Raiders |
49ers vs. Raiders | $5.7K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Raiders
@ 60¢
49ers vs. Raiders |
49ers vs. Raiders | $20K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Los Angeles Dodgers
@ 13¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | $6.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.