Exotic-Prize
0x40cfb29411d29f4fa0908f2a121297042cccd21d
Exotic-Prize: +$659 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$659
return +11.7%
Settled bets
3
$5.6K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 21%–94%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$37
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$622
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | SELL Kia Tigers
@ 99.9¢
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers |
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigers | $5.8K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 98¢
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? |
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | $4.2K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | $1.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | SELL No
@ 97¢
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? |
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 87¢
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | $1.3K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 65¢
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | $5.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 72¢
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? |
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | $3.1K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.