Close-Breastplate

0x26519b477f1cd031919e18f33fd8d3fcb48c3471

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Close-Breastplate: +$3 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$3
return +0.1%
Settled bets
2
$2.6K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 34%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 17 – Oct 1
+$3
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7% (2,012 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 54¢ Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? ↗ $1.1K
Sep 30 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September?
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in September? $1.2K
Sep 25 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026?
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of September 21 2026? $1.4K

All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1792134019, computed 2026-10-16 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792134019 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed