Polymarket market · Other

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

Open as of the last weekly run · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $54K into this market since Sep 30, 98% of their buying on Yes. It hadn't resolved as of the last weekly run.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Calm-Dusk
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $9.9K —
Imaginative-Conspiracy
4 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $9.0K —
0xf1c0…a5a2
no settled record
Yes @ 94¢ $3.0K $3.5K
Self-Reliant-Prayer-Typewriter
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $5.0K —
Unlined-Understanding-Politician
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 99.9¢ $5.0K —
Scented-Eyelids
14 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 98¢ $1.6K $2.1K
Cheerful-Ephemera
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 93¢ $3.5K —
0xb5b8…f0cb
no settled record
sold only $0 $3.3K
0xff7c…b233
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 91¢ $1.6K —
Well-Worn-Result
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 91¢ $1.4K —
Wicked-Implication
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K
Grumpy-Urn
13 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 93¢ $1.4K —
Glaring-Inspiration
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K
Ready-Progression
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 11¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes
    $41K
    98% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $11K sold
  2. No
    $1.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 30 to Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed