0xef97…ab2c
Skill vs luck
0xef97…ab2c on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 65%–100%) · profit +$47. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 28, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “0xef97…ab2c: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xef97d61b2f6fefcb37d566d11e7dc110a150ab2c. Data CC BY 4.0.
0xef97…ab2c: +$47 on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 65%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 23 – Oct 10
- +$30
- Oct 10 – Oct 28
- +$17
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher? |
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 25% or higher? | $3.8K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Trump out as President before 2027? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No
@ 99.5¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in October? | $5.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 99¢ | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? ↗ | $9.9K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 99.7¢ | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 96¢ | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? ↗ | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?