Polymarket market · Sports
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Resolved: Petr Yan won · See it on Polymarket ↗
50 whales traded $236K on this market since Oct 20, 66% of their buying on Petr Yan. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Petr Yan won, with 66% of the whale buying on it. Of the 34 whales whose whole position we captured, 20 made +$55K and 14 lost −$51K: +$4.4K between them. Biggest win: Pastel-Method, +$12K on Petr Yan. Biggest loss: Dizzy-Adviser, −$13K on Merab Dvalishvili.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 50| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Untimely-Towel
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $15K | $15K | −$250 |
| Pastel-Method
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Petr Yan @ 61¢ | $18K | — | +$12K |
| Anguished-Clam
32 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $5.8K | $9.7K | +$3.9K |
| Lost-Property
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $15K | — | +$10K |
| Dizzy-Adviser
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Merab Dvalishvili @ 42¢ | $13K | — | −$13K |
| International-Carp
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $12K | — | +$7.9K |
| Substantial-Service
1,009 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Merab Dvalishvili @ 40¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Obedient-Greenhouse
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $9.6K | — |
| Crowded-Acre
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $8.5K | — |
| Puzzled-Hill-Snakebite
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.9K | — |
| Great-Yogurt
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.9K | — |
| Colorless-Spotlight
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $7.4K | — |
| Far-Gobbler-Blueberry
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $2.5K | $4.2K | +$1.7K |
| Flowery-Apricot
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Merab Dvalishvili @ 42¢ | $6.5K | — | −$6.5K |
| Major-Vellum
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Merab Dvalishvili @ 42¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Enormous-Ballet
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.6K | — |
| Experienced-Drum-Unibody
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Petr Yan @ 60¢ | $3.0K | — | +$2.0K |
| Loathsome-Decade
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Merab Dvalishvili @ 41¢ | $2.9K | — | −$2.9K |
| Attractive-Badge
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Petr Yan @ 60¢ | $2.5K | — | +$1.7K |
| Prestigious-Bestseller
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
168 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $2.4K | — | +$1.6K |
| Broken-Jogging
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Faraway-Decade
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Petr Yan @ 60¢ | $2.2K | — | +$1.5K |
| Well-Made-Sovereignty
166 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Merab Dvalishvili @ 54¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Petr Yan @ 59¢ | $2.1K | — | +$1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
Petr Yan won$96K66% of whale buying · 21 buyers · $82K sold
-
Merab Dvalishvili lost$51K34% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $7.4K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 20 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Heat (-2.5) | $54K | 8 | Won: Hornets | |
| Kings vs. Devils | $64K | 3 | Won: Devils | |
| Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-10-24? | $126K | 10 | Won: Yes | |
| Spread: Panthers (-7.5) | $51K | 7 | Open | |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) | $70K | 11 | Won: Nets | |
| Cali: Gustavo Heide vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | $111K | 12 | Won: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | $479K | 52 | Won: Alexander Volkanovski | |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card) | $163K | 28 | Won: Alexander Volkov |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?