Prestigious-Bestseller
Skill vs luck
Prestigious-Bestseller on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit +$1.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Prestigious-Bestseller: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe399c40d186f9383e4c5123d71850f38ebc3e9d4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Prestigious-Bestseller: +$1.1K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$1.1K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$2
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Petr Yan @ 99.9¢ | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) ↗ | $2.4K |
| Sep 27 | SELL Norma Dumont @ 71¢ | UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) ↗ | $1.1K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?