Faraway-Decade
Skill vs luck
Faraway-Decade on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 44%–100%) · profit +$2.6K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Faraway-Decade: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xd59405f7d2ea7be9c8b8ef2171cb4456b34998c4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Faraway-Decade: +$2.6K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 44%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- +$1.1K
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$1.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY Petr Yan @ 60¢ | UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card) ↗ | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Imanol Rodriguez
@ 57¢
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims) |
UFC 332: Alden Coria vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Prelims) | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Damian Pinas
@ 83¢
UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims) |
UFC 332: Andrey Pulyaev vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Prelims) | $1.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?