Polymarket market · Sports
Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5
Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 21, 75% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 53 seconds later would have cost 0.2¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 75% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$50K and 6 lost −$12K: +$38K between them. Biggest win: Kosher-Refuse, +$50K on Over. Biggest loss: Prickly-Clasp-Discount, −$5.2K on Under.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosher-Refuse
368 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 42¢ | $36K | — | +$50K |
| Prickly-Clasp-Discount
265 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 32¢ | $5.2K | — | −$5.2K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,617 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 68¢ | $3.9K | — | −$946 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,225 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 60¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Spotless-Girlfriend
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 62¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
1,155 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Under @ 76¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Homely-Zucchini-Bit
252 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 36¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Over won$38K75% of whale buying · 2 buyers
-
Under lost$13K25% of whale buying · 6 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | $133K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | $67K | 9 | Won: Over | |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? | $143K | 8 | Won: Yes | |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | $146K | 18 | Won: No | |
| FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 | $110K | 7 | Won: Under | |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | $152K | 16 | Won: Timberwolves | |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | $115K | 19 | Won: Wizards | |
| Hawks vs. Magic | $140K | 29 | Won: Hawks |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?