Polymarket market · Sports
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
7 whales traded $110K on this market since Oct 21, 99% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 9.3¢ more per share, with 93% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 99% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$108K and 0 lost $0: +$108K between them. Biggest win: Substantial-Service, +$85K on Under.
The whales on this market
7 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
913 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 49¢ | $82K | — | +$85K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,438 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 53¢ | $9.2K | — | +$5.2K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
4,617 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 42¢ | $5.7K | — | +$8.1K |
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
137 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 52¢ | $4.2K | — | +$3.9K |
| Prickly-Clasp-Discount
265 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $3.5K | — |
| Fake-Bitter
1,275 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 44¢ | $2.9K | — | +$3.7K |
| Edible-Gum
178 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 44¢ | $2.1K | — | +$2.6K |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$104K99% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $3.5K sold
-
Over lost$1.6K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | $152K | 16 | Won: Timberwolves | |
| Bucks vs. Wizards | $115K | 19 | Won: Wizards | |
| Hawks vs. Magic | $140K | 29 | Won: Hawks | |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5) | $75K | 5 | Won: Trail Blazers | |
| Hornets vs. Nets | $438K | 26 | Won: Hornets | |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | $276K | 10 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | $58K | 6 | Won: Clippers | |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | $51K | 7 | Won: Pelicans |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?