Polymarket market · Sports

FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5

Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $67K on this market since Oct 21, 83% of their buying on Over. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 55 seconds later would have cost 0.4¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 83% of the whale buying on it. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$5.9K and 1 lost −$1.9K: +$4.0K between them. Biggest win: Live-Accommodation, +$4.0K on Over. Biggest loss: Dizzy-Coliseum, −$1.9K on Under.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Traumatic-Infancy-Colleague
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $26K —
Colorless-Discussion-Steamroller
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $12K —
Curly-Soap
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $12K —
Live-Accommodation
4 settled bets Too few bets
Over @ 60¢ $6.0K — +$4.0K
Untimely-Riverbed-Diaphragm
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.1K —
Dizzy-Coliseum
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 51¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Miserable-Poison
1,225 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 62¢ $1.9K — +$1.1K
Foolhardy-Native-Youth
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Rapid-Climate
87 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 60¢ $1.2K — +$800

Where the whale money went

  1. Over won
    $9.1K
    83% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $56K sold
  2. Under lost
    $1.9K
    17% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 21, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792652408).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? $146K 18 Won: No
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21? $143K 8 Won: Yes
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? $133K 15 Won: Yes
Como 1907 vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5 $51K 7 Won: Over
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5 $110K 7 Won: Under
Timberwolves vs. Heat $152K 16 Won: Timberwolves
Bucks vs. Wizards $115K 19 Won: Wizards
Hawks vs. Magic $140K 29 Won: Hawks
About this data · run 1792652408, computed 2026-10-22 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792652408 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed