Polymarket market · Other

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

6 whales put $57K into this market since Sep 16, 83% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$26K and 3 lost −$9.3K: +$17K between them.

The whales on this market

6 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Realistic-Chive-Tenet
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 51¢ $28K — +$26K
Short-Convention
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.89¢ $15K — +$18
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 48¢ $7.4K — −$5.8K
0xc92a…f183
19 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 96¢ $3.0K — +$126
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 48¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
Peaceful-Fire-Bell
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 49¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $47K
    83% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. No lost
    $9.5K
    17% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed