Polymarket market · Other

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-09-16?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $60K into this market since Sep 16, 57% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$6.8K and 1 lost −$24K: −$18K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Clueless-Millet-Medicine
21 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 44¢ $24K — −$24K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $14K — +$278
Mean-Recruit-Idea
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 94¢ $5.3K — +$319
Expert-Statement
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 55¢ $5.0K — +$4.1K
Soggy-Junket
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 86¢ $4.7K — +$745
Palatable-Magnitude
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 75¢ $1.5K — +$500
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99¢ $1.5K — +$15
Optimistic-Tonality-Persimmon
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Weepy-Swordfish
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 57¢ $1.2K — +$903
Striking-Freon-Shape
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $33K
    57% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $2.4K sold
  2. No lost
    $24K
    43% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed