Chilly-Banana

0xaa0e2d9e050184ae1f85667ecb3f1c0af5222a0e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Chilly-Banana: −$3.3K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$3.3K
return −70.3%
Settled bets
5
$4.7K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$3.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 15 SELL No @ 99¢
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-15?
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-09-15? $1.5K
Sep 14 BUY Broncos @ 46¢
Broncos vs. Chiefs
Broncos vs. Chiefs $1.4K
Sep 13 BUY Under @ 71¢
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5 $2.1K
Sep 9 BUY No @ 84¢
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09?
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-09? $1.2K
Aug 31 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31?
Will AS Roma win on 2026-08-31? $2.2K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed