Polymarket market · Sports
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
Resolved: Broncos won · See it on Polymarket ↗
10 whales traded $101K on this market since Oct 7, 98% of their buying on Chargers. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.0¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Broncos won, with 2% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$2.1K and 9 lost −$99K: −$97K between them. Biggest win: Misguided-Sock, +$2.1K on Broncos. Biggest loss: Boring-Musician, −$32K on Chargers.
The whales on this market
10 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boring-Musician
111 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Chargers @ 51¢ | $32K | — | −$32K |
| 0x16bb…8492
145 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Chargers @ 52¢ | $26K | — | −$26K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
152 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Chargers @ 51¢ | $18K | — | −$18K |
| Same-Kidney
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Chargers @ 51¢ | $7.7K | — | −$7.7K |
| Overlooked-Wetsuit
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Chargers @ 50¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Ironclad-Instructor
89 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Chargers @ 89¢ | $4.7K | — | −$4.7K |
| Black-And-White-Nougat
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Chargers @ 51¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Misguided-Sock
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Broncos @ 49¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.1K |
| Nutty-Dwelling-Basics
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Chargers @ 52¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Vibrant-Casement-Platinum
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Chargers @ 37¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
Where the whale money went
-
Chargers lost$99K98% of whale buying · 9 buyers
-
Broncos won$2.0K2% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 7 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broncos vs. Chargers | $410K | 40 | Won: Broncos | |
| Spread: Cardinals (-3.5) | $60K | 4 | Won: Lions | |
| Giants vs. Commanders | $170K | 32 | Open | |
| Spread: Lions (-5.5) | $135K | 9 | Won: Lions | |
| Lions vs. Cardinals | $432K | 32 | Won: Lions | |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | $1.03M | 61 | Won: 49ers | |
| Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) | $84K | 9 | Won: 49ers | |
| Spread: 49ers (-3.5) | $66K | 5 | Won: Seahawks |