Vibrant-Casement-Platinum

0xe9186433004437f1cf9667a933e4475dfcc1fe86

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Vibrant-Casement-Platinum: −$5.6K on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 40% (95% range 12%–77%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$5.6K
return −57.4%
Settled bets
5
$9.8K staked
Won
40.0%
95% range 12%–77%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$5.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 SELL Chargers @ 99.9¢
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)
Spread: Broncos (-6.5) $3.1K
Oct 11 BUY Chargers @ 47¢
Spread: Broncos (-6.5)
Spread: Broncos (-6.5) $1.5K
Oct 11 BUY Chargers @ 37¢
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
Spread: Broncos (-3.5) $1.5K
Oct 11 SELL Milwaukee Brewers @ 50¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers $3.1K
Oct 11 BUY Team Spirit @ 44¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 4 Winner $3.0K
Oct 10 BUY Under @ 54¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 $2.3K
Oct 10 BUY Under @ 54¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 $1.5K
Oct 10 SELL Under @ 53¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 $3.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed