Black-And-White-Nougat

0x50bec18c474d9a1d18b3be72332441302375371b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Black-And-White-Nougat: −$4.5K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 10%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$4.5K
return −33.5%
Settled bets
6
$14K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 10%–70%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 7 – Sep 25
−$2.3K
Sep 25 – Oct 13
−$2.3K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.6% (2,332 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Chargers @ 51¢
Spread: Broncos (-3.5)
Spread: Broncos (-3.5) $2.1K
Oct 11 BUY Titans @ 51¢
Spread: Texans (-7.5)
Spread: Texans (-7.5) $2.2K
Oct 11 SELL Eagles @ 99.9¢
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) $4.0K
Oct 11 BUY Eagles @ 50¢
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5)
Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) $2.0K
Sep 25 BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 61¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Philadelphia Phillies $4.0K
Sep 25 SELL Over @ 99.9¢
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5
Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 43.5 $4.1K
Sep 20 BUY @ 49¢
Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Eagles vs. Titans
Browns vs. Buccaneers AND Saints vs. Ravens AND Eagles vs. Titans $2.0K
Sep 20 BUY Ole Miss @ 65¢
LSU vs. Ole Miss
LSU vs. Ole Miss $3.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed