Frozen-Stockintrade-Priority
Skill vs luck
Frozen-Stockintrade-Priority on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 43% (95% range 16%–75%) · profit +$5.1K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Frozen-Stockintrade-Priority: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x81d972dbea298a5064d4ba51031e0386182fe9c9. Data CC BY 4.0.
Frozen-Stockintrade-Priority: +$5.1K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 16%–75%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$5.1K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Warriors @ 49¢ | Spread: Warriors (-4.5) ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Clippers
@ 49¢
Spread: Lakers (-8.5) |
Spread: Lakers (-8.5) | $2.9K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Over
@ 38¢
Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5 |
Sabah FK vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5 | $2.3K |
| Oct 18 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 |
FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5 | $5.3K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Over
@ 41¢
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 |
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5 | $2.1K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5 |
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. VfL Bochum: O/U 1.5 | $6.1K |
| Oct 16 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Al Ahli Doha SC vs. AL Wakrah SC: O/U 2.5 |
Al Ahli Doha SC vs. AL Wakrah SC: O/U 2.5 | $5.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?