Clueless-Millet-Medicine

0x918b42a06ff25eaaa4a79eca9da6a9de46f4ea63

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
−$66K
return −16.7%
Settled bets
21
$397K staked
Won
57.1%
95% range 37%–76%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Sep 4 – Sep 20: −$101K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$35K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

In the live feed

$7.7K bought Over at 51¢
$25K bought No at 44¢

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 Bought Yes at 49¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06?
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? $3.5K
Oct 6 Bought Yes at 49¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06?
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? $15K
Oct 6 Bought Yes at 48¢
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06?
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-10-06? $4.9K
Oct 6 Bought Over at 40¢
Goiás EC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
Goiás EC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 $6.9K
Sep 27 Bought No at 59¢
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26?
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26? $20K
Sep 27 Bought Yes at 31¢
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-26?
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-09-26? $16K
Sep 27 Bought No at 57¢
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26?
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26? $16K
Sep 27 Bought No at 56¢
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26?
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-26? $24K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed