Polymarket market · Sports

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Resolved: Philadelphia Phillies won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $61K into this market since Aug 23, 90% of their buying on Philadelphia Phillies. Philadelphia Phillies won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$52K and 4 lost −$9.6K: +$42K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Philadelphia Phillies @ 91¢ $25K — +$2.6K
Illustrious-Budget
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Philadelphia Phillies @ 67¢ $10K $5.7K −$4.4K
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Philadelphia Phillies @ 67¢ $6.7K — +$3.3K
Dependable-Waterfront
389 settled bets Beat the odds*
Philadelphia Phillies @ 48¢ $3.3K — +$3.6K
Black-And-White-Summit
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck
St. Louis Cardinals @ 99¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Imaginative-River
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
St. Louis Cardinals @ 99¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Useful-Helo
12 settled bets Too few bets
Philadelphia Phillies @ 24¢ $2.0K — +$6.2K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Philadelphia Phillies @ 5¢ $1.9K — +$36K
Sick-Backyard
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Usable-Manufacturing
54 settled bets Worse than the odds
St. Louis Cardinals @ 95¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Philadelphia Phillies won
    $49K
    90% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.7K sold
  2. St. Louis Cardinals lost
    $5.2K
    10% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. St. Louis Cardinals lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $1.5K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed