Polymarket market · Sports

Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $66K into this market since Aug 20, 51% of their buying on No. Yes won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$13K and 9 lost −$52K: −$38K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Caring-Cicada
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 75¢ $19K — −$19K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,235 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 77¢ $8.8K — −$8.8K
Tangible-Replacement
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $8.4K — −$8.4K
Adolescent-Apse
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 76¢ $6.8K — −$6.8K
Nocturnal-Sunlamp
69 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.85¢ $5.6K — +$8
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 25¢ $3.3K — +$9.8K
Blushing-Creative
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 76¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Imaginative-River
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $2.0K — +$2
Miserable-Poison
955 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 36¢ $2.0K — +$3.5K
Discrete-Television
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Visible-Shrimp-Tonight
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
No @ 74¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Jam-Packed-Chest
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 76¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Cooperative-Upstairs
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $33K
    51% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  2. No lost
    $19K
    29% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Yes won
    $13K
    20% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Aug 23, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed