Polymarket market · Sports

Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals

Resolved: Baltimore Orioles won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $60K into this market since Aug 26, 60% of their buying on Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore Orioles won. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$23K and 6 lost −$21K: +$2.0K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Wordy-Littleneck
311 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 48¢ $13K — +$14K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
Baltimore Orioles @ 84¢ $10K — +$2.0K
Frosty-Layer-Numismatist
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
St. Louis Cardinals @ 50¢ $7.5K — −$7.5K
Radiant-Birdhouse
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
St. Louis Cardinals @ 50¢ $6.3K — −$6.3K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
St. Louis Cardinals @ 59¢ $6.2K — −$1.9K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 69¢ $5.4K — −$789
Sore-Burial
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 42¢ $4.7K — +$6.4K
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
St. Louis Cardinals @ 57¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
Black-And-White-Summit
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Baltimore Orioles @ 99.89¢ $2.7K — +$3
Orderly-Venture
82 settled bets Can't tell from luck
St. Louis Cardinals @ 51¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K

Where the whale money went

  1. Baltimore Orioles won
    $36K
    60% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. St. Louis Cardinals lost
    $24K
    40% of whale buying · 6 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26 to Aug 27, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed