Sore-Burial

0x5ad49cd574df6888a0fe1d2b522f334988f06866

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Sore-Burial: +$3.7K on 31 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 42% (95% range 26%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$3.7K
return +2.8%
Settled bets
31
$133K staked
Won
41.9%
95% range 26%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 29 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$27K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$28K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$4.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 30 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Peru win on 2026-09-29?
Will Peru win on 2026-09-29? $1.1K
Sep 28 BUY Rams @ 49¢
Rams vs. Broncos
Rams vs. Broncos $3.8K
Sep 26 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 57¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers $3.8K
Sep 24 BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 46¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies $4.7K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 55¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs $6.1K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 49¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets $6.9K
Sep 16 BUY No @ 52¢
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays $4.0K
Sep 16 BUY @ 39¢
RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score AND AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score AND AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score $2.2K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed