Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A

Resolved: M80 won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $166K into this market since Sep 16, 95% of their buying on NIP. M80 won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$11K and 6 lost −$151K: −$140K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Documented-Outrigger
135 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NIP @ 56¢ $120K — −$120K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NIP @ 58¢ $10K — −$10K
Rash-Barometer
375 settled bets Can't tell from luck
NIP @ 55¢ $9.8K — −$9.8K
Legal-Booster
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 45¢ $2.1K $4.7K +$2.6K
Treasured-Parchment
74 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 45¢ $5.6K — +$6.8K
Unfolded-Impostor-Bankruptcy
3 settled bets Too few bets
NIP @ 55¢ $5.1K — −$5.1K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
NIP @ 63¢ $3.6K — −$3.6K
All-Peasant-Drug
891 settled bets Worse than the odds
NIP @ 55¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Frank-Ping
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck
M80 @ 44¢ $1.1K — +$1.4K

Where the whale money went

  1. NIP lost
    $151K
    95% of whale buying · 6 buyers
  2. M80 won
    $8.8K
    6% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $6.2K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed