Diligent-Tectonics
0x4cb03276679d644ec1852f744668f345d41657e0
Diligent-Tectonics: −$30K on 38 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 37%–68%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$30K
return −26.6%
Settled bets
38
$113K staked
Won
52.6%
95% range 37%–68%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 38 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$20K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$7.0K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 70¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | $4.3K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team Liquid
@ 47¢
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | $4.7K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Team Yandex
@ 56¢
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) | $1.6K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Nemiga
@ 40¢
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | $1.1K |
| Sep 30 | BUY BNK FEARX
@ 70¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $2.4K |
| Sep 30 | BUY 1win
@ 38¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B |
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | $1.6K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 78¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group B | $4.3K |
| Sep 26 | BUY LOUD
@ 71¢
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B |
Valorant: LOUD vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group B | $7.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.