Polymarket market · Other

South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs South Africa

Resolved: South Africa won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $55K into this market since Sep 11, 57% of their buying on South Africa. South Africa won. Of the 5 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$482 and 2 lost −$19K: −$18K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Innocent-Classmate
31 settled bets Worse than the odds
South Africa @ 91¢ $31K — −$17K
Frugal-Carload
8 settled bets Too few bets
South Africa @ 99.89¢ $6.0K — +$6
Loving-Atheist
64 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Africa @ 86¢ $2.0K $3.4K —
Soggy-Vault
10 settled bets Too few bets
South Africa @ 91¢ $4.4K — +$436
Past-Punishment
271 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.2K —
Unwilling-Pride
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
South Africa @ 98¢ $2.0K — +$40
Private-Faithful
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Namibia @ 19¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K

Where the whale money went

  1. South Africa won
    $27K
    57% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $7.6K sold
  2. South Africa lost
    $17K
    36% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  3. Namibia lost
    $3.3K
    7% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed