Polymarket market · Other

Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-11?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales put $83K into this market since Sep 11, 91% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$18K and 2 lost −$4.1K: +$14K between them.

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Forked-Pricing
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 84¢ $65K — +$8.9K
Open-Fingernail-Bullet
108 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 56¢ $12K — +$9.1K
Glass-Supper
48 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 43¢ $3.4K — −$3.4K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $2.7K — −$712

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $75K
    91% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  2. No lost
    $7.6K
    9% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed