Frugal-Carload

0x519b0d49a99c794e2c721b6ad8bc010fdc20624e

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Frugal-Carload: +$133 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 68%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$133
return +0.2%
Settled bets
8
$63K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 68%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$62
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$24
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$46
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY Australia Women @ 99.9¢
Bangladesh Women Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia Women vs Bangladesh Women
Bangladesh Women Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia Women vs Bangladesh Women $11K
Sep 27 BUY India @ 99.69¢
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies
West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West Indies $3.5K
Sep 24 BUY Sri Lanka @ 99.76¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka $9.9K
Sep 19 BUY England @ 99.86¢
Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka
Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka $13K
Sep 11 BUY South Africa @ 99.89¢
South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs South Africa
South Africa Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs South Africa $6.0K
Sep 2 BUY Sri Lanka @ 99.9¢
T20 Asia Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Sri Lanka
T20 Asia Cup, Women: Indonesia vs Sri Lanka $13K
Aug 31 BUY Zimbabwe @ 99¢
South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs Zimbabwe
South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs Zimbabwe $2.9K
Aug 27 BUY No @ 99.5¢
Will India win?
Will India win? $4.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed