Soggy-Vault
0xb7a5e556e9779b61797704658968132b673c856e
Soggy-Vault: −$436 on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 70% (95% range 40%–89%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$436
return −2.5%
Settled bets
10
$17K staked
Won
70.0%
95% range 40%–89%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$666
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | BUY Australia A Women
@ 92¢
Australia A Women Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A Women vs Australia A Women |
Australia A Women Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A Women vs Australia A Women | $1.1K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 99.67¢
Will Australia A win? |
Will Australia A win? | $2.2K |
| Sep 21 | BUY No
@ 99¢
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 21? |
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 21? | $1.3K |
| Sep 21 | BUY India Under-19s
@ 95¢
Australia U19 Tour of India Youth ODIs: India Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s |
Australia U19 Tour of India Youth ODIs: India Under-19s vs Australia Under-19s | $1.3K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Australia
@ 98¢
Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia |
Australia Tour of Zimbabwe ODIs: Zimbabwe vs Australia | $1.7K |
| Sep 15 | SELL EnglandLions
@ 99.5¢
T20 Series England Lions vs Sri Lanka: EnglandLions vs Sri Lanka |
T20 Series England Lions vs Sri Lanka: EnglandLions vs Sri Lanka | $1.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Botswana
@ 97¢
ILT20 Continent Cup: Botswana vs Sierra Leone |
ILT20 Continent Cup: Botswana vs Sierra Leone | $3.8K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Nepal
@ 99.8¢
ACC Men's Premier Cup 50-Over: Nepal vs UAE |
ACC Men's Premier Cup 50-Over: Nepal vs UAE | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.