Polymarket market · Other
Wisconsin vs. Iowa
Resolved: Iowa won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales traded $90K on this market since Oct 30, 78% of their buying on Iowa. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 2.6¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Iowa won, with 78% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$21K and 4 lost −$18K: +$2.9K between them. Biggest win: Shoddy-Harmonise, +$9.7K on Iowa. Biggest loss: Glaring-Salt, −$11K on Wisconsin.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shoddy-Harmonise
153 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Iowa @ 78¢ | $34K | — | +$9.7K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
573 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Iowa @ 78¢ | $16K | — | +$4.4K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,277 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wisconsin @ 39¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Distant-Pomelo
237 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $6.4K | — |
| Functional-Knee-Beck
55 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wisconsin @ 45¢ | $4.2K | — | −$4.2K |
| General-Otter
48 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Iowa @ 61¢ | $1.5K | $2.5K | +$951 |
| Imaginary-Gallery
391 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Iowa @ 78¢ | $3.8K | — | +$1.1K |
| Terrible-Garage
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Iowa @ 56¢ | $3.6K | — | +$2.8K |
| Showy-Imitation-Spy
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Iowa @ 66¢ | $3.4K | — | +$1.8K |
| Key-Capability
172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Wisconsin @ 34¢ | $1.7K | — | −$1.7K |
| Knowledgeable-Peertopeer
33 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Realistic-Dissemination
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Wisconsin @ 35¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
Where the whale money went
-
Iowa won$62K78% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $10K sold
-
Wisconsin lost$18K22% of whale buying · 4 buyers
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 30 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1793516413).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5) | $71K | 7 | Won: Málaga CF | |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-31? | $149K | 15 | Won: Yes | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | $96K | 25 | Open | |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-31? | $98K | 7 | Won: No | |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | $184K | 26 | Open | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | $55K | 12 | Open | |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | $62K | 7 | Won: Yes | |
| Notre Dame vs. Navy | $55K | 7 | Won: Notre Dame |