Palatable-Magnitude
0xf4362f4784eec9e5e3ba93b0b90da08017624591
Palatable-Magnitude: −$9.9K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 53% (95% range 32%–73%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$9.9K
return −29.6%
Settled bets
19
$33K staked
Won
52.6%
95% range 32%–73%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 15 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.9K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$4.5K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.5K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 32¢
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29? |
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29? | $1.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY
@ 44¢
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? AND Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? AND Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? | $1.2K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Over
@ 99.9¢
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5 |
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 4.5 | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 |
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Utrecht: O/U 5.5 | $3.0K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-09-19? |
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-09-19? | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY FC Barcelona
@ 88¢
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) |
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 81¢
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? |
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-09-19? | $2.5K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Yes
@ 77¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | $2.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.