Bare-Mambo
0xfc04e014f3e520191b5f456ca6a47f93b0a14f75
Bare-Mambo: +$163 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$163
return +8.5%
Settled bets
2
$1.9K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$167
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes
@ 61¢
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? |
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | $1.4K |
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | $2.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Yes
@ 92¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? | $1.9K |
| Sep 17 | SELL No
@ 96¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | $1.4K |
| Aug 31 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | $2.0K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.