Grand-Restoration
0xc34a4af2e3a818fdcdfaa7b5b140eca017ae6007
Grand-Restoration: −$32 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$32
return −1.6%
Settled bets
2
$2.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 10%–91%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$12
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$44
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14 | SELL Yes
@ 96¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? |
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | $2.9K |
| Aug 25 | BUY No
@ 99.4¢
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | $2.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.