Polymarket market · Sports
US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
Resolved: Adrian Mannarino won · See it on Polymarket ↗
11 whales put $62K into this market since Aug 30, 60% of their buying on Adrian Mannarino. Adrian Mannarino won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$26K and 5 lost −$17K: +$9.4K between them.
The whales on this market
11 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $17K | — |
| Imperturbable-Benefit-Bartender
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 35¢ | $12K | — | +$22K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,172 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 89¢ | $6.7K | — | −$975 |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 75¢ | $5.6K | — | −$5.6K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 72¢ | $5.4K | — | −$5.4K |
| All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 94¢ | $4.8K | — | +$313 |
| Rough-Fairy-Subsidence
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 51¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Cavernous-Undershirt
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.5K | — |
| Exalted-Evocation
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 50¢ | $2.3K | — | +$2.4K |
| Monstrous-Dew
325 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Agustin Tirante @ 74¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Second-Hand-Rayon
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Adrian Mannarino @ 55¢ | $1.4K | — | +$1.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Adrian Mannarino won$26K60% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.5K sold
-
Thiago Agustin Tirante lost$17K40% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $17K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 30 to Aug 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).