Second-Hand-Rayon
0x29788995bd3d54faec1c4cf8b37f564793deb511
Second-Hand-Rayon: +$360 on 47 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 30%–57%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$360
return +0.7%
Settled bets
47
$51K staked
Won
42.6%
95% range 30%–57%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 22 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$360
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6 | SELL Wushuang Zheng
@ 99.05¢
W50 Guiyang: Jia-Jing Lu vs Wushuang Zheng |
W50 Guiyang: Jia-Jing Lu vs Wushuang Zheng | $2.3K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Federica Trevisan
@ 60¢
W15 Fiano Romano: Francesca Gandolfi vs Federica Trevisan |
W15 Fiano Romano: Francesca Gandolfi vs Federica Trevisan | $1.9K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Angelica Raggi
@ 77¢
W15 Brasov: Daria Lopatetska vs Angelica Raggi |
W15 Brasov: Daria Lopatetska vs Angelica Raggi | $2.0K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Marianna Argyrokastriti
@ 99.9¢
W15 Badalona: Laura Mair vs Marianna Argyrokastriti |
W15 Badalona: Laura Mair vs Marianna Argyrokastriti | $2.3K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Enola Chiesa
@ 99.9¢
W15 Pécs: Franziska Sziedat vs Enola Chiesa |
W15 Pécs: Franziska Sziedat vs Enola Chiesa | $1.8K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Kateryna Lazarenko
@ 93¢
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Kateryna Lazarenko vs Julia Adams |
W15 Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Kateryna Lazarenko vs Julia Adams | $1.6K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Naoki Nakagawa
@ 81¢
M25 Urayasu: Naoki Nakagawa vs Kuan-Yi Lee |
M25 Urayasu: Naoki Nakagawa vs Kuan-Yi Lee | $2.0K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Joanna Garland
@ 88¢
W75 Tianjin: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Joanna Garland |
W75 Tianjin: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Joanna Garland | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.