Polymarket market · Sports
Braga: Thiago Monteiro vs Elmer Moeller
Resolved: Elmer Moeller won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales put $117K into this market since Oct 5, 75% of their buying on Thiago Monteiro. Elmer Moeller won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$6.8K and 9 lost −$39K: −$32K between them.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tough-Schooner
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Thiago Monteiro @ 25¢ | $20K | $26K | +$5.6K |
| Scary-Edible
1,378 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Monteiro @ 47¢ | $20K | — | −$8.5K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Monteiro @ 55¢ | $11K | — | −$6.1K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Monteiro @ 48¢ | $7.7K | — | −$7.7K |
| Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thiago Monteiro @ 44¢ | $7.3K | — | −$7.3K |
| Dimpled-Fishbone
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elmer Moeller @ 96¢ | $2.9K | — | +$121 |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thiago Monteiro @ 85¢ | $2.8K | — | −$1.1K |
| Luminous-Collision
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Monteiro @ 54¢ | $2.8K | — | −$2.8K |
| Tinted-Text
169 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Monteiro @ 46¢ | $2.7K | — | −$2.7K |
| Accomplished-Mincemeat
17 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Willing-Skiing
116 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Muted-Dearest
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.9K | — |
| Whispered-Generator-Story
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Elmer Moeller @ 95¢ | $1.7K | — | +$93 |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elmer Moeller @ 74¢ | $1.7K | — | +$581 |
| Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Thiago Monteiro @ 47¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Welcome-Revenue
215 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Thiago Monteiro @ 46¢ | $1.4K | — | −$1.4K |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Elmer Moeller @ 74¢ | $1.1K | — | +$382 |
Where the whale money went
-
Thiago Monteiro lost$63K75% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $28K sold
-
Elmer Moeller won$21K25% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $4.1K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 5, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).