Polymarket market · Sports
Guangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Resolved: Naoya Honda won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales put $160K into this market since Sep 16, 94% of their buying on Naoya Honda. Naoya Honda won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$42K and 5 lost −$10K: +$32K between them.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novel-Nondisclosure
12 settled bets Too few bets |
Naoya Honda @ 77¢ | $77K | — | +$23K |
| Excitable-Bakeware-Deck
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Naoya Honda @ 89¢ | $42K | — | +$5.0K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Naoya Honda @ 54¢ | $14K | — | +$12K |
| Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Naoya Honda @ 79¢ | $9.0K | — | +$2.4K |
| Young-Pickle
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 69¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Yawning-Chicken
241 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Naoya Honda @ 34¢ | $1.7K | $1.4K | −$280 |
| Shallow-Team
45 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 50¢ | $2.5K | — | −$2.5K |
| Feisty-Clipboard
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.4K | — |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 94¢ | $2.1K | — | −$2.1K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Each-Summary
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nikoloz Basilashvili @ 66¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Lopsided-Overexertion
26 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Naoya Honda won$144K94% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $4.8K sold
-
Nikoloz Basilashvili lost$9.9K6% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.7K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Despina Papamichail | $65K | 9 | Won: Despina Papamichail | |
| Rennes: Hamish Stewart vs Daniel Rincon | $107K | 12 | Won: Daniel Rincon | |
| Ljubljana: Weronika Falkowska vs Laura Samson | $52K | 7 | Won: Laura Samson | |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Lloyd Harris | $61K | 17 | Won: Marat Sharipov | |
| Ljubljana: Alice Tubello vs Dalma Galfi | $53K | 6 | Won: Alice Tubello | |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | $103K | 7 | Won: Los Angeles Angels | |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | $67K | 17 | Won: Texas Rangers | |
| San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals | $72K | 12 | Won: San Francisco Giants |